Gold Technical Report: Last week, Gold declined on all five trading sessions making a comeback difficult for the bulls.. Prices have reached at 6 moths low and weakness persists as it trades beow 200 days EMA @ 1900 and 10 Days EMA@ 1883 has already crossed below the same. Upside resistance lies near 1900 psychological mark and then the conjunction point of 50 days EMA and 100 days EMA near 1922 and then 1951 Horizontal TrendLine touchpoint. The short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 4 (it is considered overbought when above 80 and oversold when below 20) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24 (it is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30).
Silver Technical Report: Silver prices also moved down parallely and closed below the August lows. It has crossed below the conjunction point of 50 days EMA and 100 days EMA near 23.30 , 200 days EMA @ 23.04 and also 10 days EMA @ 22.66 all in last one week alone. The Short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 11 and Relative Strength Index near 30.
Fundamental Report: Gold prices are down sharply for the sixth straight session on Monday, touching a nearly seven-month low. This downturn comes as traders analyze U.S. inflation metrics and brace for upcoming job market data. The dollar’s strength continues to be a significant headwind for the yellow metal, which ended Q3 3.7% lower, marking its steepest quarterly decline since June 2021. The Fed’s policy tightening seems to be impacting various sectors as recent U.S. data softens. Even as underlying inflation moderated in August, according to the core PCE price index, there’s uncertainty about whether current interest rate levels are adequate to curb inflation. Federal Reserve officials Neel Kashkari and John Williams offered differing views on the path of rate hikes, adding to the market’s confusion. Higher interest rates have lifted the dollar near a 10-month high and taken a toll on gold, which does not yield interest. Meanwhile, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields pulled back after touching a 15-year high, reflecting mixed inflation expectations. The market is split, with a 45% chance of another rate hike this year and a 43% probability of policy easing in H1 2024, as per CME FedWatch Tool data.