ISA Bullion Gold Report – 15 October 2024

15 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2666
2643
2650
2648
+2.00
+0.07%
Silver
31.60
30.90
31.17
31.52
-0.35
-1.11%

Introduction

As global financial markets remain in flux, gold and silver continue to be essential assets for investors seeking stability amidst economic uncertainties and rising inflationary pressures. In the current landscape, these precious metals not only provide a hedge against volatility but also present lucrative opportunities for growth. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the key fundamental and technical factors shaping gold and silver prices, giving investors the insights they need to make informed trading decisions.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold price continued to trade with a negative bias on Tuesday, pressured by fading hopes of a major interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Market participants are adjusting their expectations in light of recent U.S. Treasury bond yields. Despite this pressure, any dip in gold prices may present an opportunity for buyers, as the metal finds support at key technical levels. Immediate support lies at the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,633, with a potential downside target near $2,600. The upside target remains the all-time high of $2,687. The Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 54, indicating neutral momentum, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 58, suggesting moderate strength in the current price action.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2600
2615
2633
2645
2660
2687
2700

Silver:

Silver remains under pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rise, contributing to a pullback in prices. The gold/silver ratio climbing above 85 has added to the bearish sentiment in silver markets. A break below the $31.00 level could lead to a retest of recent lows at $30.12. The Stochastic Oscillator stands at 38, and the RSI is at 50, both signaling neutral momentum with potential downside risks if support levels are breached.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.25
30.50
30.75
31.00
31.20
31.33
31.33

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This momentum indicator measures an asset’s closing price relative to its price range over a defined period. It identifies overbought conditions above 80 and oversold conditions below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price movements to determine overbought or oversold conditions. An RSI above 70 signals overbought conditions, while below 30 indicates oversold conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Empire State Manufacturing Index
4:30pm
-11.9
3.4
11.5

Conclusion

Gold and silver are at critical junctures, with both metals testing key support and resistance levels. Gold’s ability to hold above $2,633 will be crucial for maintaining upward momentum, while silver faces downside risks if it closes below $31.00. As economic data and market sentiment shift, it’s essential for investors to monitor both fundamental and technical developments closely. Leveraging these insights will be key to identifying opportunities and managing risks in the volatile bullion markets.

Disclaimer: This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reliable sources. It is not to be considered as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making financial decisions.