ISA Bullion Gold Report – 17 October 2024

17 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2685
2658
2674
2660
+14.00
+0.53%
Silver
32.16
31.40
31.72
31.45
+0.27
+0.86%

Introduction

As global markets face heightened economic volatility and geopolitical shifts, gold and silver continue to act as key stabilizers for investors seeking refuge from uncertainty. With both metals trading near critical levels, the balance between risk and opportunity has never been more pronounced. In today’s analysis, we explore the driving forces behind recent price action in the gold and silver markets, providing essential insights for investors looking to capitalize on emerging opportunities while safeguarding their portfolios.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold prices remained resilient, consolidating near record highs on Thursday as traders focus on upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data, which could further fuel gold’s upward momentum. Gold closed the previous session above the key resistance at $2,670 and approached the record high of $2,686. Technical indicators suggest room for additional gains if gold breaks above the all-time high. Immediate resistance is seen at $2,700, followed by the $2,750 psychological barrier. On the downside, support aligns at $2,666, with further support at the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,645. The Stochastic Oscillator currently sits at 88, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 66, both signaling overbought conditions.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2633
2645
2666
2684
2700
2725
2750

Silver:

Silver tested key resistance levels near $31.80, supported by strong gold performance and a pullback in the gold/silver ratio near 84.60. A move above $31.80 could push silver toward the recent highs at $33.00. However, silver remains sensitive to broader market dynamics, including a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 53, and the RSI is at 58, reflecting neutral momentum with the potential for further gains if resistance is broken.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
31.00
31.20
31.33
31.64
31.80
32.00
32.25

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This momentum indicator measures an asset’s closing price relative to its price range over a specified period. It indicates overbought conditions when above 80 and oversold conditions when below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI evaluates the speed and change of price movements, signaling overbought conditions when above 70 and oversold conditions when below 30.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Core Retail Sales m/m
4:30pm
0.1%
0.1%
Retail Sales m/m
4:30pm
0.3%
0.1%
Unemployment Claims
4:30pm
241K
258K
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
4:30pm
4.2
1.7

Conclusion

The gold and silver markets continue to show strength as they approach key resistance levels. Gold’s resilience above $2,666 highlights the ongoing bullish sentiment, while silver’s movement toward $31.80 signals room for further gains if resistance holds. Investors should remain focused on both technical indicators and economic data releases, as they will play a critical role in shaping the next move for precious metals. By staying informed and balancing risk with opportunity, investors can navigate these volatile markets with confidence.

Disclaimer - This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reputable sources. It is not to be considered as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses arising from reliance on this information. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making financial decisions.