Daily Gold and Silver Market Analysis- 9 December 2024

09 ديسمبر 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2645
2613
2632
2632
0
0
Silver
31.48
30.80
30.97
31.33
-0.36
-1.15%

In the ever-changing world of gold trading, staying informed on market movements is essential for effective decision-making. This report provides an in-depth analysis of the gold and silver markets, highlighting the key drivers influencing price movements. Whether you’re exploring online gold trading opportunities or seeking actionable insights, this report equips you with the tools to trade gold online with confidence.

Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices edged higher on Monday as market sentiment tilted toward expectations of another Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Geopolitical tensions and trade war concerns further bolstered demand for the safe-haven asset. However, a less dovish Fed outlook provided support for the US Dollar, limiting XAU/USD’s upward movement.

Over the weekend, reports emerged of Syrian rebels seizing control of the capital, Damascus, forcing President Bashar al-Assad to flee to Russia with his family. This marked the end of Syria’s 13-year civil war and more than five decades of Assad family rule. In response, the United Nations is expected to hold an emergency closed-door meeting on Monday to address the implications of this development.

Investors remain cautious amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East, despite Israel’s recent ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah. Market participants are also eyeing this week’s release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Sentiment was further influenced by Friday’s US labor market report, which showed a stronger-than-expected increase in Nonfarm Payrolls of 227K for November, surpassing the projected 200K rise. Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.2%, in line with market expectations.

 

Gold

Gold prices remain range-bound, holding firm above the critical $2,600 support level. Buyer momentum appears cautious, with limited aggressive positioning observed. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned higher, approaching the 50 mark, supporting the recent recovery in gold prices.

However, sustained upside momentum remains uncertain as the $2,652 level serves as an immediate resistance. A break above this level could open the path toward the next key resistance at $2,700. On the downside, the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,577 acts as the next major support level for gold buyers. The Stochastics Oscillator currently reads 36, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2551
2577
2600
2638
2652
2676
2700

Silver

Silver pulled back slightly on Friday but continues to trade above the critical $31.00 level, maintaining its strength. The gold/silver ratio remains just below the 85.00 mark. If silver stabilizes above $31.00, it is poised to advance toward the $31.66–$32.28 range. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator stands at 80, indicating overbought conditions, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50, reflecting a neutral stance.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.18
30.41
30.76
31.08
31.33
31.66
32.00

Indicator Definitions

  • Stochastics Oscillator: A momentum indicator that evaluates a closing price relative to its range over a specified period. Readings above 80 indicate overbought conditions, while readings below 20 suggest oversold conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures price momentum to evaluate market conditions. Readings above 70 signal overbought conditions, while readings below 30 indicate oversold levels.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Final Wholesale Inventories m/m
7:00pm
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%

Conclusion

The gold and silver markets remain at the mercy of shifting geopolitical developments and evolving US monetary policy expectations. While gold has maintained stability above the $2,600 mark, silver continues to hold firm above $31.00, signaling resilience. With key US CPI data expected later this week, further volatility is likely. Traders should focus on crucial support and resistance levels for potential entry and exit points.

At ISA Bullion (Pty) Ltd, we remain committed to providing timely insights and professional analysis to support your trading strategies. By leveraging our in-depth research, you can navigate the complexities of online gold trading with confidence and precision.

Disclaimer This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reputable sources. It does not constitute investment advice. ISA Bullion (Pty) Ltd makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided and disclaims all liability for losses resulting from reliance on this report. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any investment decisions.