ISA Bullion Gold Report – 9 October 2024

09 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2653
2604
2622
2643
-21.00
-0.79%
Silver
31.80
30.11
30.70
31.72
-1.02
-3.22%

Introduction 

As global financial markets grapple with volatility and uncertainty, gold and silver continue to stand out as indispensable assets for investors seeking a safe haven. Amid fluctuating economic data and geopolitical tensions, these precious metals offer a compelling balance of stability and growth. Our analysis today delves into the latest developments and key technical factors driving gold and silver prices, providing essential insights to support strategic decision-making in these dynamic markets.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold prices extended their downward trend for the sixth consecutive day, pressured by diminishing expectations of a smaller interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The prospect of a potential ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel further dampens the appeal of the safe-haven metal. Investors are also awaiting the release of the FOMC minutes and upcoming U.S. inflation data, which could serve as short-term catalysts for price movements. Despite the recent sell-off, gold remains technically constructive, with key resistance levels near $2,645 and $2,686. On the downside, support is seen at $2,600, with additional pressure potentially targeting the September 20 low of $2,566. The Stochastic Oscillator reads 59, while the RSI is at 57, indicating a neutral position.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2566
2584
2600
2623
2645
2666
2686

Silver:

Silver is facing strong selling pressure as the gold/silver ratio rises above 86.00. The metal is now at risk of falling below the key psychological level of $30.00, which could lead to further downside toward the 50-day moving average at $29.54. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 51, and the RSI reads 50, both reflecting neutral momentum with a potential for further decline if support levels are breached.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.00
30.16
30.33
30.50
30.75
31.00
31.20

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: Measures the momentum of an asset by comparing its closing price to its price range over a defined period. Readings above 80 indicate overbought conditions, while readings below 20 suggest oversold conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures the speed and change of price movements. A reading above 70 suggests overbought conditions, while a reading below 30 indicates oversold conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
FOMC Meeting Minutes
10:00 PM
NA
NA
NA

Conclusion 

As gold and silver navigate a challenging market environment, their ability to hold above critical support levels will be crucial in determining short-term trends. While gold remains poised for a potential rebound if it can reclaim $2,645, silver’s struggle to maintain its position above $30.00 could signal increased downside risk. Investors should closely monitor economic indicators and geopolitical developments, utilizing a balanced approach that incorporates both technical and fundamental analysis to make well-informed investment decisions.

Disclaimer This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reputable sources. It is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on the information provided. Investors are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any financial decisions.